American Painting Contractor Magazine

APCJuly2013

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NAVIGATING TODAY'S CONSTRUCTION MARKETPLACE by electricians (139,000). Painters hold 19,900 green jobs, accounting for 14% of all painter jobs. Green construction jobs are not distributed evenly across states. The largest proportion of green construction jobs are in the northwest (Washington, Oregon and Idaho), the Midwest (Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Indiana and South Dakota) and New England (Maine, Vermont and Rhode Island). The proportion of green jobs is lowest on the Gulf Coast and in the Southeast (Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Georgia). CONSTRUCTION FORECAST Forecasting construction demand, and the demand for construction labor, is challenging but necessary to prepare for the future. Chart 32a clearly shows that the construction sector will see faster job growth than any other major sector of the economy. While all construction occupations will grow rapidly, the slowest-growing occupation, roofing, will grow by about 2% annually between 2010 and 2020. Jobs for brickmasons, HVAC mechanics and welders will see unprecedented growth – between 46% and 56% over the decade. Painters are also a high-growth occupation, at 36.7% (159,200 jobs). Will the industry have a sufficient number of employees to meet these increased demands? Chart 32d shows that the number of workers who need to enter a construction occupation is determined by not only the growth in demand for workers of that skill, but also the need to replace existing workers as they retire or leave the industry for other reasons. For the projected change between 2010 and 2020, the proportion of workers in these categories varies considerably by occupation. While 65% of the new employees needed in welding are required to replace existing workers, well over half of the new workers in concrete and HVAC are needed to meet new demand. Among painters, job growth (73,100 jobs) and replacement (86,100 jobs) are about equal. The balance between replacement needs and new-demand needs is closely related to the age of the labor force by occupation. WORKPLACE SAFETY While employment projections are rosy, the book finds troubling numbers in work-related deaths and injuries. Construction leads the nation in the number of workers killed on the job year after year. Looking at the number of fatalities by trade, the number of painters is disturbing, although it is not at the top: 105 painters killed from 2008 to 2010. The next chart presents the leading causes of fatal injuries, and 43c AMERICAN PAINTING CONTRACTOR • July 2013 21

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